The prospect of Georgia joining the North Atlantic Alliance is discussed regularly. NATO representatives talk about the country's progress towards the membership. Tbilisi also confirms adherence to this course from the beginning of the century. In fact Georgia began the NATO movement after the 2003 revolution, when not the best president Mikheil Saakashvili came to power. As can be observed today, the integration processes have not been set. What is the reason for this?
False syllogism is one of entertaining methods - among the tools of demagogy. It works according to a completely logical mathematical principle, which every ordinary man in the street has been familiar with school times. Who will question the queen of all sciences? And the formula in the false syllogism is the following: if A = B and A = C, then B = C. Agree, everything seems quite obvious. Therefore, Tbilisi has been actively appealing this method for 15 years, convincing the people that Georgia should be a modern and democratic country. All modern and democratic countries within NATO and the EU. Conclusion: we must join NATO and the EU.
Precisely speaking, value orientation is brazenly and openly replaced by purely integration. Moreover, the construction of a democratic society, which Georgia cannot yet boast of, is replaced by an increase in military spending, militarization, and the construction of military bases.
“Why?” - a simple citizen of the country will ask. “Well, how so !? - they will answer him. - Everything that we do is necessary for joining NATO. But we want to become part of a civilized society.”
The problem is that in this way the country does not get better, political processes do not become more transparent. On the contrary, behind all this lies the corruption of power, its failure. All the troubles of the country are attributed to the fact that Georgia aspires to NATO, and Russia presses on it and impedes this process. But do not look towards the Kremlin to find obstacles. They are much closer - in Tbilisi.
However, it is much worse in this situation that the leadership of the North Atlantic Alliance condones such tendencies, hypocritically announces the success of Tbilisi, promises membership in NATO, knowing full well that the territorial disputes that exist in Georgia prevent it.
“Georgia once again confirms the desire to become a member of NATO, which is the main priority of its foreign and security policies, and enjoys strong support from the population. The Allies reaffirm the decision made at the 2008 Bucharest Summit that Georgia will become a member of the alliance, and the Membership Action Plan is an integral part of this process; Allies confirm all the elements of this decision, as well as subsequent decisions, ”the statement of the NATO-Georgia Commission said.
At the same time, the Allies reaffirm the full support for the independence, sovereignty and territorial integrity of Georgia within its internationally recognized borders. “We urge Russia to refuse recognition of the Georgian regions - Abkhazia of the Tskhinvali region / South Ossetia, the so-called independent states. ”
And if Russia does not refuse, then what? A very interesting proposal in September was made by the ex-Secretary General of NATO Anders Fogh Rasmussen. It is possible that it was said for a reason.
“I think a way out of this impasse can be found in discussing within Georgia whether you accept the agreement that Article 5 will apply only to the territory where the Georgian government has full sovereignty,” he said.
It’s a paradoxical situation, because it can have only two scenarios: a complete rejection of claims for self-proclaimed republics or an automatic start of a war with Russia. Given Article 5 of the NATO Charter, it is almost a Third World War. Of course, in recent years, relations between the transatlantic bloc and Moscow have escalated, but it’s scary even to assume that there are crazy people in NATO who are ready to do such a thing.
Georgia in this situation will be doomed. No matter how much she now spends budget money on defense, the Russian army is still stronger. At the same time, there are big doubts about the support from the Alliance that Tbilisi can hypothetically rely on.
But we have gone too far. It is time to return to modern realities. They consist in the fact that Russia does not really rejoice in the Alliance approaching its borders. At the same time, the Georgian authorities continue to tease the neighbor with Russophobic statements. This summer, a wave of anti-Russian protests was launched in Georgia, organized by the opposition forces of fugitive ex-president Mikheil Saakashvili. How did Vladimir Putin react to this? He banned direct flights between countries - an insignificant step, at first glance. But at the height of the tourist season, it was a serious blow to the Georgian economy. Over $ 100 million in losses!
And this Putin just hinted at what would happen if Tbilisi continues in the same vein. The economy of Georgia is focused on the Russian market. This factor must be reckoned with. Even the president of Georgia, Salome Zurabishvili, carefully, so as not to offend Western partners, says the need for dialogue with Russia. From the point of view of state interests, this approach is logical. It is foolish not to take into account the current position of your country in the geopolitical arena. The summer anti-Russian campaign has already shown that this is fraught with consequences. It is unlikely that for the sake of NATO, the country's inhabitants will endure hunger and deprivation when the Russian market closes. Then Tbilisi will find out what a real revolution is.
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